Historical Record Shows Bitcoin May Have Much Further To Fall, Says Analyst Benjamin Cowen

A popular crypto analyst says history shows that top crypto asset Bitcoin (BTC) may fall even more as fear and uncertainty take over the markets.

In a new strategy session, Benjamin Cowen says that Bitcoin tends to retrace to its 200-day simple moving average and that another date with that zone is likely in the mix.

“Bitcoin has a habit of going back to the [200-day simple moving average] every so often whether we like it or not…

I want people to consider it as a possibility but not a certainty and if it’s a possibility, you owe it to yourself to plan for that scenario.”

Currently, BTC’s 200-day moving average just passed the $20,000 mark. Cowen says that if the top crypto by market cap were to converge with its 200-day moving average, it would happen “sooner rather than later.”

”If we’re going to the 200-week moving average, I think it would actually occur a lot sooner than May of 2023. I think it’s more likely to occur in the next few months rather than really far out. I would say if we’re gonna go there, it seems more likely that we would go there sooner rather than later.”

The analyst also notes that calls for an imminent altcoin season can be brushed off as that notion wouldn’t be possible without a BTC rally.

“The reason I am saying to ignore the calls for an ‘imminent alt season’ is because Bitcoin just got rejected off the 21-week exponential moving average. How can we realistically call for alts to rally when Bitcoin cannot get back above those levels?”

Bitcoin is exchanging hands at $35,955 at time of writing, a 14% decrease from its seven-day peak of $41,872.

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